Dubai's business community continues to show strong confidence in the months ahead, according to the latest Dubai Business Climate Index (DBCI) for Q4 2025, released by Dubai Chambers. The index reached 173 points, rising slightly from the previous quarter and remaining well above the neutral baseline of 100. A score above 100 indicates optimism about the coming quarter, while a score below 100 would signal concern.
For the Q4 2025 edition, feedback was collected from 944 CEOs and managers spanning multiple industries, making it one of the most comprehensive snapshots of business sentiment in the city. At its core, the index reflects expectations rather than past performance. One of the most notable findings is that 56% of surveyed businesses expect sales to increase in Q4 2025 compared to the previous quarter.
This outlook is supported by strong domestic demand, which many respondents cited as a key driver of activity, along with improved access to raw materials and more efficient operations. Digital transformation also continues to reshape the business landscape. Investments in digital payments, marketing, artificial intelligence, and e-commerce are becoming increasingly common, reflecting a shift toward more efficient and technology-driven business models.
E-commerce, in particular, is gaining ground, with over half of businesses reporting that online sales now contribute to their revenues. The Dubai Business Climate Index is based on a quarterly survey of senior decision-makers across the emirate’s private sector. Many companies are actively planning for growth through product diversification, market expansion, and increased production capacity.
The survey also highlights Dubai’s growing role as a regional leader in digital adoption. Businesses remain optimistic and forward-looking, but they are also increasingly focused on efficiency, resilience, and long-term sustainability. Rather than signalling unchecked expansion, the survey reflects a maturing business environment where growth is pursued thoughtfully.
As Dubai moves into 2026, the index suggests that the private sector is well positioned to navigate challenges while continuing to build on the emirate’s strong economic foundations. The latest reading confirms that confidence remains firmly positive. Strong local demand remains a central pillar, while trade agreements and improved logistics are opening new opportunities.
More than half of respondents said cost reduction was the main reason for adopting digital tools, while others pointed to competition, access to new markets, and regulatory compliance. Cost control remains a priority, especially in relation to rents, financing, and compliance.
Despite the positive headline figures, the survey also reveals mounting pressures. Cash-flow concerns persist, particularly due to delays in receivables, while visa costs, licensing fees, and regulatory penalties continue to add to operating expenses. On the global front, respondents pointed to concerns around economic slowdown and cybersecurity risks, underscoring that external factors remain a consideration even as local conditions stay supportive.
The findings suggest several areas where further optimisation could strengthen performance. Rising commercial rental costs, higher Salik and parking fees, and banking charges are among the most frequently cited challenges.
