The American non-profit organization 'Climate Central' has warned of potential consequences of increasing extreme heat days on coffee crops in tropical regions. These factors combined could lead to a decline in coffee supply and quality and contribute to rising global prices. According to a market report from the International Coffee Organization (ICO), the average price for a pound of raw coffee last December was about 3 US dollars. The organization also noted that extreme weather events in coffee-growing regions have likely contributed to global coffee price spikes in recent years. According to a 'Climate Central' analysis, coffee-growing areas have seen an increase in recent years due to climate change in the number of days with extreme maximum temperatures that can be particularly damaging to 'Arabica' coffee plants. The organization also stated that coffee-growing areas may change due to climate change. Their goal was to understand how frequently climate change is pushing temperatures in these countries above the 30-degree threshold, which is especially harmful to Arabica plants. Researchers concluded that in the top five coffee-producing countries—Brazil, Vietnam, Colombia, Ethiopia, and Indonesia—climate change has led to an average of 57 additional harmful-for-coffee-cultivation days per year. According to the organization, values exceeding this threshold mean coffee plants are under stress, becoming more susceptible to diseases, producing a smaller yield, and lower-quality beans. The study's authors compared these values with estimated temperatures for a hypothetical world without human greenhouse gas emissions. The German coffee specialist company 'Schäfer' recently raised its coffee prices, citing market tensions. 'Climate Central' believes that farmers must adapt their farming methods, for example, by planting taller trees around coffee to provide shade that protects the plants from harmful heat. The organization noted that this could have affected the quality and quantity of recent crops. For the analysis, 'Climate Central' studied temperatures between 2021 and 2025 in what is known as the 'coffee belt,' which includes 25 countries along the equator. Two years ago, the price ranged between $1.6 and $1.8.
